Week 01./2026

2026. január 5.

Dear readers,             Not much is happening in the first week of the year, let’s see a few good news: • The Catalan Minister of Agriculture confirmed that the outbreak of African swine fever(ASF) detected at the end of November, which has already resulted in the deaths of 29 wild boars, has not originated from…

Tibor Abraham PhD

Dear readers,

            Not much is happening in the first week of the year, let’s see a few

good news:

• The Catalan Minister of Agriculture confirmed that the outbreak of African

swine fever(ASF) detected at the end of November, which has already

resulted in the deaths of 29 wild boars, has not originated from the IRTACReSA facilities in Cerdanyola del Vallès (Barcelona).

• The Spanish Incarlopsa company announced the acquisition of Embutidos

Bricio, a company with nearly 40 years of experience in the production of

white pork products. Embutidos Bricio had a turnover of approximately €4.4

million in 2024, selling 1.3 million units of products.

• A group of consumers have filed a class-action lawsuit against McDonald’s,

claiming the McRib sandwich doesn’t contain any actual pork rib meat, and

instead is comprised from ground-up portions of lower-grade pork products

and, by branding it as such, the fast food chain deceives reasonable

consumers, who believe the product “will include at least some meaningful

quantity of actual pork rib meat, which commands a premium price on the

market.” Believe me, if you check the price of the sandwich and haver some

basic knowledge of the meat market, it is easy to find out that some could

make a more than reasonable profit on selling the real product.

• Marco Tschanz, CEO of Bell Food Group, in an interview to the Neue Zürcher

Zeitung newspaper asserted that the boom in meat analogues is over, as their

sales are currently growing at a rate of between 0 and 1%. It is a niche

product, he explained, “primarily because of its taste, which is not

comparable to that of meat.” And they are often “highly processed products

with numerous additives”. Bell Food Group, Switzerland’s largest meat

processor, intends to continue focusing on conventional meat. Consumers

are awakening.

Who Let the Dogs Out?

My dear readers. I am from the East of Europe , working in a range of small

countries. Here everything is considered a conspiracy(but isn’t it?). Sometimes

conspiracies worth to be debated.

Politics intervein more and more also in the pig industry. A recent proof is

the Philippines giving pork import licenses to some Russian companies, while

Spain is banned, for the moment. I don’t remember to hear any regionalization

of Russia on ASF issues…Anyhow, sovereignty, open and closed markets are not

new subjects, I recommend again “Bad Samaritans: The Myth of Free Trade and

the Secret History of Capitalism “, by Ha-Joon Chang.

This weekend had one shocking event: the president of Venezuela, Nicolas

Maduro, has been extracted from his home by the Delta Force and transferred

to a prison in the U.S. It’s a huge shift in the policy of president Trump, who has

recently received the FIFA peace trophy(this is not a joke). Now everyone is

expecting the further developments. Redesigning maps, spheres of influence,

rise and fall of empires. Obviously, it will affect also the pork trade.

The official reason for the action against Maduro is drug trafficking. If this is true, first target should have been Mexico, as all the data show this country as source of 98% of the fentanyl arriving to the US. Even more, the Mexicans are producing it form precursors purchased from Chinese suppliers.

I am switching now from books to movies. “Wag the Dog” is a film released

in late 1997, starring Dustin Hoffman and Robert de Niro, categorized initially

as a political satire. The plot: a spin doctor and a Hollywood producer who

fabricate a war in Albania, in order to distract the voters from a sex scandal

involving the president of the U.S. The twist of faith: a month later the Clinton-Lewinsky scandal erupted. Mr. Clinton may have seen the movie, because soon

3 other events turned the attention of the voters away from the scandal and

his impeachment: bombing of a pharmaceutical factory in Sudan, bombing of

Iraq and bombing of Serbia, close to the Albanian border.

Mr. Trump is in a similar situation. His popularity is rapidly decreasing, the

Epstein files are allegedly involving him in a sexual scandal and the Republican

party is looking like the big looser of the mid-term elections planed for

November 2026. In my opinion, the intervention in Venezuela may be just a

distraction. Whatever the motivation, the action will redraw trade routes and

alliances.

The one move I could still imagine is the reedition of the Bay of Pigs

invasion in Cuba, it has more chance now and it would feed Trumps ego, by

winning where Kennedy didn’t.

The term of “wagging the dog” has originated from the saying “a dog is

smarter than its tail, but if the tail were smarter, then it would wag the dog.”

Who let the dogs out?